শনিবার, ৩০ জুন, ২০১২

HBT: Twins living in past with Doumit extension

This two-year, $7 million contract extension is a signing from 2002.

Ryan Doumit is exactly the kind of player a smart team would go year to year with. He is?

a) over 30
b) injury prone
c) below average defensively wherever he plays

Doumit?s career highs are 124 games, 431 at-bats, 15 homers and 69 RBI. He had his best season four years ago when he was 27. He was also very good last season, but it was in 218 at-bats. This year, he?s also been quite good so far, though we?re still talking about a .775 OPS. He had a .718 OPS eight days ago.

I like Doumit. His body wasn?t made to withstand the rigors of catching regularly, but the Twins seem to have carved out a great niche for him this year; he?s on pace to catch 60 games and DH in about 50 more. There?s a fair enough chance he?ll stay relatively healthy and maintain something close to that .775 OPS the rest of the way, and in Target Field, that makes him a fair asset.

But that?s 2012. He?s only going to be a worse bet going forward. The Twins were able to sign him to a one-year, $3 million contract as a free agent over the winter, and nothing that?s happened since has made him a better bet for age-32 and -33 seasons.

Ignoring for a moment the fact that the Twins seem to be working to keep together their probable 95-loss team, smart clubs don?t give out multiyear deals unless there?s real upside to them. Given his lack of a position, Doumit would have had to go on a serious tear for anyone to ante up even a two-year, $10 million offer to him this winter, and little in his history suggests it was likely to happen. Doumit suffering a serious injury that would have negatively affected his value headed into 2013 is a ?much more likely scenario.

This is just one of those completely unnecessary multiyear deals we don?t see quite as often these days as we used to. Obviously, it?s not going to bankrupt the franchise if it doesn?t work out, but there also isn?t much to be gained. The Twins could have waited until the winter and made sure they still wanted him back.

Source: http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/06/29/ryan-doumit-extension-shows-twins-still-living-in-the-past/related/

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